The average electric car is somewhat out of the realm of the average person. They have large upfront costs and really only make sense for those that are driving contained to one area and then they have lower maintenance and fuel costs making them viable. Car sharing apps like Uber and Lyft have a large amount of overhead tied up in paying drivers because they are also in a way paying the drivers to rent the cars while they are working. Self-driving cars again will most likely have high upfront costs making them too expensive to be worthwhile for all but the rich early adopters. However, these high upfront costs would be balanced out by the low maintenance, low fuel and no driver costs for a company like Uber or Lyft. What this means is that these companies are very interested in purchasing large numbers of these electric self driving cars as soon as possible in order to lower costs in the long run. In essence this is the whole convergence, this lower cost in the end will mean that they can charge less and profit more driving more people to their services. Then this of course means they can buy more electric self driving cars which broadens their service and we have the same thing occuring.
Self driving cars are most likely not going to affect the average driver too much at first. People will definitely be distrustful of the cars and most people won’t be buying them. This on top of the cost means that after the launch of these most people will still have their daily commutes in their cars relatively unaffected. They may see a self driving car or two but they are still going to know that they need two cars in their garage for both of them to get to work.
Electric cars in many ways have already made their way into the mainstream. They are somewhat expensive still, but they are in some people’s garages and people are generally happy with them if they are the type of person who chose to buy an electric car this early. A few garages may have charging stations built in to them at this point but otherwise very few changes have been made. More garages will continue to prioritize electric cars as they become more popular but to begin with the adoption will most likely be fairly slow.
The car sharing apps are really the ones that bring it all together. With electric cars and self driving cars they will be able to make cars more available for cheaper to anyone with a phone. This means that a lot of people may find themselves doing the mental math between how much it all cost to go to the bank in their car or calling a car to drive them there and back. Once this happens is when the average person will truly be affected. It may take a while for these apps to bring the self driving cars online and it may take a while for people to trust them to bring them to and from their destinations without the help of a real person, but these things will be done in time and then more cars will be sitting in garages unused and some real changes will start to occur in enough time. People will start to see that their cars are costing them more money than they are worth and may even become an inconvenience. This will be when most people will save their cars for trips and special journeys, maybe selling one car and just keeping their favorite or largest car for family trips.